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Scientists, Politicians, and Proliferation

The NPT, a landmark international treaty which entered into force in , aims to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and weapons technology, to promote cooperation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy and to further the goal of achieving nuclear disarmament and general and complete disarmament.

Kane said that the readiness of the nuclear-weapons States to increase the detail of their reporting on nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation activities will get increased scrutiny in the years ahead. She also welcomed the increased attention from civil society to the importance of accountability in implementation of past commitments on disarmament and non-proliferation. These people became very nervous about participating in a weapons project that, if exposed, would have ruined their reputation and cut them off from the global scientific community.

North Korea's nuclear programme: How advanced is it?

The example of Yugoslavia does not invalidate the utility of international controls on sensitive technology, but it should lead us to think twice before adopting controls that seriously impede normal scientific and commercial exchange. We need to recognize that globalization does not doom the cause of nonproliferation, and indeed that encouraging some kinds of globalization can actually promote the cause. Overall, Atoms for Peace has done what it was meant to do. Those who want to curtail it risk cutting off their nose to spite their face. Another country you briefly examine in the book and elsewhere is North Korea.

Recently, a current senior analyst and a former director of Los Alamos Nuclear Laboratory co-authored a piece warning that Pyongyang might conduct a third nuclear test as quickly as two weeks from August 6. After at least 30—but probably more like 50—years of trying, North Korea has only gotten so far as to demonstrate a bare minimum, non-weaponized nuclear explosive capacity.

Even according to the report that you cite in your question, Pyongyang still does not possess a genuine, operational nuclear weapons arsenal. I say imprudent, because nonproliferation policies based on worst-case scenarios are far from cost-free. The consistent U. These overestimates have led Washington and its allies to provide significant economic and other forms of assistance to the Kim regime, which may well have kept it alive long enough to produce the measly nuclear capability that it now has.

In short, our fear of a North Korean bomb has become something close to a self-fulfilling prophecy. Today the proliferation case receiving the most attention is obviously Iran, which you addressed in the book as well as an article in Foreign Affairs. One of the most widely held concerns people have about Iran potentially acquiring a nuclear weapon is that this will induce neighboring countries like Egypt, Turkey, or Saudi Arabia to acquire their own arsenals.

Can Iran Achieve Its Nuclear Ambitions? > News > USC Dornsife

Based on your theory and the current state of these three countries nuclear programs do you see any of them as a viable concern in terms of their ability to build nuclear weapons? This is surely worrisome, although still, for bombs, you need to enrich uranium up to 90 percent or higher, and taking this further step from 20 to 90 percent enrichment is not nearly as easy as many pundits claim.

Freeman and Company Beaton , Leonard Must the Bomb Spread? Baltimore Penguin Books Behn , Robert D. Bendor , J.


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